02/02/26 11:10am: Well "Boulder's deceased, stuffed, top hat-wearing yellow-bellied marmot" (Groundhog) didn't see his shadow this morning (wave cloud), so I guess it means we will have an early Spring lol.... but we knew that yesterday when it was 70...I joke, but hoping for a cold and active spring as La Nina turns to neutral and some of the other teleconnections change, we have already had our warm weather.

Anyway, a busy morning but wanted to mentioned a few updates for the approaching, quick hitting short-wave that will bring just a little bit of snow to the north-central mountains and some snow showers to the front-range (Den/Bou), mostly tomorrow night. Models show a bit of more progressive, weaker storm system (tracking a bit farther east, than previously indicated).

In terms of snowfall, for the eastern north-central mountains and front-range mountains, some light snow / snow showers expected from 8am Tue to 8am Wed: 1/2" to 3" in a few spots, favoring the front-range mountains near/east of the Cont. Divide (Loveland Pass to Berthoud Pass, Winter Park, IPW, RMNP areas will be favored for the higher amounts).

For Den/Bou, a cold-front will move down the front-range after 5pm tomorrow (turning the wind from westerly to northeasterly). Then a chance for snow showers / light snow in spots from about 5pm Tue to 5am Wed (best chances 8pm-11pm Tue). Trace-1" for Den/Bou proper (metro area). With 1/2" to 2" possible for areas near the Palmer Divide and south of DEnver and maybe some in the foothills southwest of Denver, it won't be much.

The other big story will be the expected windy conditions tomorrow as the jet-stream passes overhead.

For parts of the north-central mountains and especially the front-range mountains tomorrow turning very windy between 10am-10pm Tue, northwest wind-gusts of 40-70mph, strongest along/east of the Cont. Divide.

For Den/Bou and the northern front-range and eastern plains it will turn very windy ahead of the cold-front between 11am-6pm, with west / northwest wind-gusts of 25-50mph, strongest in/near the foothills and from Boulder north to the WY border.

The storm system clears out on Wed morning and the wind will decrease in most areas. Some wind for the Front Range mountains on Wed, otherwise turning sunny and warmer again (after a chilly start on Wed morning).

Then turning dry and relatively warm/hot again from Thu, Feb 5th through Sun Feb 8th. Denver will have high temps back in the upper 60s by Thu-Sun (could be above 70 again for next weekend).

Then a more active pattern likely and a storm system for the mountains around Mon afternoon, Feb 9th into Tue, Feb 10th.

First two images compare forecast total snowfall from now through 11am Wed from latest 12z ECMWF model and NWS Blend of Models, take with grain of salt but shows where best chances for a little bit of snow are. Image 3 shows forecast wind-gusts at 2pm tomorrow from latest HRRR model. Image 4 shows the short-wave (further east) at 5pm Tue from latest ECMWF.