Welcome to Seth's Weather
Daily Colorado weather forecasts and consulting
Forecast outlook for the next 7+ days: warm and dry. Active weather returns around Nov 15th
11/06/26 8:45am. Morning, happy Friday. Aside from just a few snow showers moving across parts of the mountains this morning, we now enter a warm and dry stretch for the next 7-8 days or so before the pattern likely gets active again after Nov 14th.
If you are in southern CO: probably pretty happy about a nice break from the rainfall and flooding.
If you are in northern CO: well, we will have to wait longer for the more significant snow to show up.
Below I show a forecast loop of 500mb height anomalies from the ECMWF-Ensemble model over the next 12 days (from now through Nov 18th). Reds are high-pressure / warm, blue is low-pressure and colder. I also show forecast max/min temps for Boulder and a look at the Total QPF (Precip) Plume for Berthoud Pass...
What you can see is our weather will be dominated by a ridge of high pressure for the next 7+ days before a trough / more low pressure develops over the western U.S. after Nov 14th (and that could send some storms into CO).
Its a ways out, but generally more active for CO from Nov 15-20th initially (that will be the next period).
Prior to this warm and sunny weather (60s for Den/Bou and the front-range 40s/50s for the mountains). Some wind at times, since wind is common during fall, but nothing too major.
Unfortunately it does look like Den/Bou will be flirting with another very late (top 5) latest first snowfalls again (which really stinks after last year's near record late first snowfall).
As much as I want an active pattern now, nothing we can do about it. Mother Nature is in control.
I'm still looking at all the signals for CO for the rest of winter, there is a chance I modify my forecast some for northern CO. But remember, when I put out my seasonal forecast the one area I mentioned could be below normal was the north-central mountains (90-100% of average by April, so still a wildcard with El Nino). If Den/Bou doesn't get snow by end of Nov, I will likely have to lower my overall snowfall forecast for the northern front-range.
Thats all for now. Have a great weekend!
Seth Linden combines professional expertise with a lifelong passion for weather forecasting.
A Colorado native and avid skier, Seth turned his early fascination with weather into a career, earning degrees in Physics and Atmospheric Science from CU Boulder. For over 25 years, he has worked at the National Center for Atmospheric Research (NCAR), where he develops winter weather decision support systems for Denver International Airport and state transportation departments.
He shares his forecasting expertise through the Seth's Weather Report Facebook group, specializing in winter storm predictions.
Like what you read?
Receive daily weather reports straight to your inbox with Seth's Daily Newsletter. Sign up below.
